油价触及每桶95美元； “没有证据”表明政客因观点而破产 – 商业直播商业

The UK’s financial regulator is expected to say it found no evidence that UK politicians are being denied bank accounts or other financial services, after launching a review in the wake of the Nigel Farage debanking row.

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The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is due to release the results of its review by the end of the week, after contacting both banks and politically exposed persons (PEPs) – who include MPs, peers, leaders of UK political parties and senior ranking military officers – last month.

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The review is expected to say there is no evidence to show that PEPs are being denied services primarily on the basis of their status, which requires banks to more closely monitor their accounts and transactions, since they are considered to be at a higher risk of bribery or corruption.

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Here’s the full story.

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A review by the chief UK financial regulator has reportedly found no evidence that politicians are being denied bank accounts because of their views.

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People briefed on the findings has told the Financial Times that the Financial Conduct Authority’s probe into ‘debanking’ has not found any cases where political views were the “primary” reason for personal account closures.

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The investigation was launched in August, called by chancellor Jeremy Hunt in the furore over the closure of Nigel Farage’s Coutts bank account.

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Farage had claimed that Coutts decided to close his account because his views “did not align” with the lender, sparking a row over free speech in the UK, and claims of discrimination.

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The FT reports:

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The FCA is aware the data used in its review was compiled quickly and that not all banks have good systems for monitoring and recording why accounts are closed or refused, said two people briefed on its work.

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They added that the regulator would carry out further work to ensure that banks and payment companies are not unfairly denying access to services.

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A 40-page document compiled by Coutts showed that the bank decided to put Farage on a “glide path” to be exited as a customer once his mortgage expired, as that put him below the qualifying threshold to be a customer.

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But the Coutts dossier also warned of an “increased reputational risk” of continuing to bank Farage. It said his opinions did not align with the bank’s own views, and that Farage was “considered by many to be a disingenuous grifter”.

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Farage is not happy about the FCA’s findings, telling the Financial Times last night:

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“This is farcical. There are plenty of examples of prominent Brexiteers being debanked. The FCA are part of the problem.”

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New – This will be a big story tomorrow. FCA review finds no evidence of politicians being "debanked" for their views. @Nigel_Farage tells the @FT: "This is farcical. The FCA are part of the problem." Scoop with the excellent @LauraNoonanFT https://t.co/w2eswK8EPb

— George Parker (@GeorgeWParker) September 18, 2023

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Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

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The oil price is continuing its march towards $100 a barrel for the first time in almost a year, creating new inflationary headaches for central bankers.

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Brent crude, the international benchmark, has pushed over $95 per barrel this morning, the highest since November 2022.

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Oil is being driven up by concerns of a supply deficit, following recent output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, which have been extended until the end of this year.

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Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at capital.com, says:

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Despite looking technically overbought, the upside momentum looks strong, with a combination of supply and demand drivers supporting the rally. Of course, the big story here is the expected shortfall in supply flagged by OPEC+ last week.

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The cartel says it sees a deficit of 3 million barrels per day in the final quarter of this year, which would be the largest since 2007. The increase in oil price is fuelling higher yields, especially at the long end, although equity markets have proven surprisingly resilient.

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Brent crude began 2022 below $80 per barrel, before soaring to around $130/barrel after Russia invaded Ukraine last March – fuelling the surge in inflation last year.

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Oil did then fall back, but has been climbing since the end of June, pushing up petrol and diesel prices in the UK, for example.

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Higher oil prices risk making inflation more persistent, just at a time when central bankers are inching towards ending their cycle of rising interest rates. The US Federal Reserve may leave borrowing costs on hold tomorrow, though the Bank of England may vote to hike again on Thursday.

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$100 per barrel is in sight now. And Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodity analyst at SEB, predicts that oil demand will weaken should prices continue to rise, over $100/barrel.

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Schieldrop says:

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“The overall situation is that Saudi Arabia and Russia are in solid control of the oil market. The global market is either balanced or in deficit and both crude and product stocks are still low.

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Thus we have a tight market both in terms of supplies and inventories, so there should be limited downside in oil prices. We are highly likely to see Dated Brent moving above USD 100/b. It is now less than USD 5/b away from that level and only noise is needed to bring it above.

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The agenda

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• 10am BST: OECD’s global economic outlook

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• 10am BST: Eurozone inflation report for August

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• 2.15pm BST: Business and Trade Secretary Kemi Badenoch appears before the Business & Trade Committee

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