塞恩斯伯里老板表示需要降息来刺激消费者支出;欧元区通胀率降至 2.5% – 商业直播 | 货币

塞恩斯伯里老板称英国需要降息来刺激消费者支出

的老板 塞恩斯伯里 表示英国需要多次降息来刺激消费者支出,特别是在非必需品方面的支出。

塞恩斯伯里首席执行官西蒙·罗伯茨 (Simon Roberts) 表示:

消费者继续保持谨慎,特别是在可自由支配的支出方面。

他说消费者的谨慎

考虑到家庭在生活成本危机中所经历的一切,这并不奇怪。

除非我们看到连续的降息(希望越快越好),否则消费者对这些非必需品的谨慎态度将会持续下去。

罗伯茨说,天气转好后,人们在食物以外的其他方面花费更多。上周,英国遭遇“小热浪”,塞恩斯伯里超市的风扇和制冷设备销量超过了今年迄今为止的销量。

这表明,当天气转变时,顾客确实想购买他们享受夏天所需的东西。

塞恩斯伯里表示,与一年前相比,购物者继续从其货架上购买更多的食品,但由于整个市场的通胀有所缓解,食品杂货销售额增幅从上一季度的 7.3% 放缓至最新季度的 4.8%。

在其 阿尔戈斯 连锁店的销售额下降了 6.2%,尽管由于体育迷们准备观看男足比赛,其电视销量比一年前增长了 25%。 2024 年欧洲杯 足球锦标赛。

该零售商表示,销量下滑反映出“夏季开始的反常现象”,寒冷潮湿的天气影响了戏水池和花园家具等夏季商品的销售,而去年夏季开始时,这些商品的销量很好。

The boss of Sainsbury’s said Britain needs several interest rate cuts to stimulate consumer spending, particularly on non-essential things.

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Simon Roberts, the chief executive of Sainsbury’s, said:

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n

Customers are continuing to be cautious, particularly in the areas of discretionary spending.

n

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He said consumers’ caution was

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n

not surprising given everything households have been through in the cost of living crisis.

n

Until we see sequential interest rate cuts, hopefully as soon as possible, that caution from consumers is going to continue on those more discretionary items.

n

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Roberts said when the weather improved, people spent more on things other than food. Last week, when Britain enjoyed a “mini-heatwave” Sainsbury’s sold more fans and cooling equipment than it had sold so far this year.

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n

It just shows that when the weather does turn, customers do want to buy into what they need to enjoy the summer.

n

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Sainsbury’s said shoppers continued to buy more items of food from its shelves than a year before but grocery sales growth slowed to 4.8% in the latest quarter from 7.3% in the previous quarter as inflation across the market eased.

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At its Argos chain, sales fell by 6.2%, even though it sold 25% more TVs than a year before as sports fans prepared to watch the men’s Euro 2024 football tournament.

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The retailer said the decline reflected “an unseasonal start to summer”, with cold and wet weather hitting sales of summer goods such as paddling pools and garden furniture that did well in a hot start to the summer last year.

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Inflation in the eurozone slowed slightly last month, falling to 2.5% from 2.6% in May.

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Official figures showed the annual core rate of inflation, which excludes unprocessed food and energy which tend to be volatile, dipped to 2.8% from 2.9%.

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The ‘flash’ estimates were released by Eurostat, the European Commission’s statistics office.

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Revolut has reported record annual profits and further hinted at plans for a stock market flotation, despite still struggling to secure a UK banking licence.

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The London-based fintech company, which has been waiting more than three years for its UK licence to be approved, swung to a £438m profit in 2023, having made a £25m loss a year earlier.

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Profits were increased by higher interest rates and an ambitious expansion plan that helped to add 12 million customers to its user base last year. Revenues jumped 95% to £1.8bn in 2023, according to its latest annual report.

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But bosses have yet to convince regulators to grant the company a UK banking licence that would open the door to new income streams. A licence would allow Revolut to hold its customers’ deposits, which would help fund its own-branded loans and mortgages. It would also probably convince regulators in other key countries such as the US to follow suit.

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The challenge, in part, has been convincing regulators that Revolut has addressed a number of accounting and reputational concerns in recent years, after EU regulatory breaches, questions over its corporate culture and the late filing of its accounts.

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Revolut bosses made little reference to the UK application, which was first lodged in early 2021, in its latest annual report, saying only: “We are continuing to work closely with the [Prudential Regulation Authority] 关于我们的英国银行牌照申请。”

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然而,2021 年估值 330 亿美元的 Revolut 进一步暗示,它有望实现预计将会成功的首次公开募股 (IPO)。该公司在年度报告中坚称,它已经以“上市公司”所期望的方式“加强”了财务控制。

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一年前,审计师 BDO 表示无法全面了解 Revolut 的收入,并警告称,因此该公司的财务状况面临“重大错报”的风险。

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Shares in the Shoe Zone lost nearly a fifth of their value after the shoe retailer downgraded its profit forecast again, blaming higher shipping costs due to Red Sea disruption and poor weather.

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The shares fell as low as 120p and later traded down 16% at 130p.

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The retailer now expects adjusted profit before tax for the year to 2 October to be around £10m. It had already cut its profit outlook to £13.8m in May, as it was hit by shipping delays and higher wage costs following the National Living Wage increase.

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Today, Shoe Zone said container prices had risen “significantly” over the last six months, as a result of the reduction in the number of shipping vessels and the additional costs of rerouting away from the traditional Suez Canal route.

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Alongside this, spring and summer sales had been weaker than expected between April and June due to “unseasonal weather conditions”.

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Last week, the company was hit by a cyber attack when hackers gained “unauthorised access to certain online systems and data”. Its website has remained operational and Shoe Zone has continued to trade with its customers and suppliers.

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月至 6 月间,其鞋子销量低于预期,并发布了盈利预警,将原因归咎于恶劣天气和高昂的运输成本。”,”caption”:”这家高街连锁店表示,4 月至 6 月间,其鞋子销量低于预期,并发布了盈利预警,将原因归咎于恶劣天气和高昂的运输成本。”,”credit”:”摄影:Mike Egerton/PA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1719905631000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”03.33 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1719908580000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”04.23 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1719908266000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”04.17 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”04.17″,”title”:”Shoe Zone 股价在利润下调后暴跌 18%”,”贡献者”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”2024 年 7 月 2 日星期二 05.53 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”首次发布于 2024 年 7 月 2 日星期二 02.46 EDT”},{“id”:”6683aeae8f08e6b0385244cf”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Britain’s next government is poised to benefit from easing pressure on household finances after a slowdown in inflation in stores and a fall in fuel prices, but costs remain “too expensive” for many families.

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Figures from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) show that annual UK shop price inflation cooled last month to 0.2%, down from 0.6% in May – the slowest pace since October 2021 – as retailers cut the prices of many of their key products, including butter and coffee.

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Coming before Thursday’s general election, separate figures from the RAC show that petrol and diesel prices fell for a second straight month in June to ease pressure on families affected by the cost of living crisis. The organisation said, however, that filling up on the forecourt was still “too expensive” in England, Wales and Scotland.

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According to the RAC’s monthly fuel watch, the average price of petrol in the UK at the end of June was just under 145p a litre, down from 148p at the start of the month. Diesel dropped from nearly 154p to about 150p.

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“Fuel prices are still nowhere near where they should be despite falling for the second consecutive month,” the RAC said. It highlighted the lower cost of filling up in Northern Ireland, where petrol is 4.5p a litre cheaper on average and diesel 8p cheaper than in the rest of the UK.

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The RAC’s head of policy, Simon Williams, said:

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n

While it’s good news prices at the pumps have fallen for the second month in a row, this also leaves a bad taste in the mouth because we know drivers in Great Britain are continuing to get a raw deal as both petrol and diesel are still much more expensive than in Northern Ireland.

n

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Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

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Sales at Sainsbury’s have slowed despite a 25% jump in people buying TVs during Euro 2024, partly because of a big drop in sales at its Argos chain.

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Food inflation has eased, and the supermarket group battled a “tough trading backdrop” on clothing and general merchandise amid poor weather and the cost of living crisis.

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Like-for-like sales (at stores open at least a year), excluding fuel, slowed to 2.7% in the 16 weeks to 22 June, from 4.8% in the previous quarter.

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Food sales growth eased to 4.8% from 7.3% as inflation across the market eased.

“,”elementId”:”8abf6516-cdda-4e0d-8ced-4d5ba63a24b5″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Argos sales plunged by 6.2% in the latest quarter, because people bought less garden furniture, paddling pools and other seasonal products than last year due to cold and wet weather. Sales electronics such as video games were also weak.

“,”elementId”:”ed0018b2-6dd2-4126-9e28-624d2eafd471″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Sainsbury’s said:

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n

Consumers continue to shop general merchandise more cautiously but respond to value.

n

More positive signs are coming through now in general merchandise with the better weather and the Summer of Sport ramping up.

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As the warm weather hit last week, people immediately stocked up on cooling and garden products. Sainsbury’s said it sold more fans in one week than it had in the year to date. Thanks to the euros, TV sales have surged, as fans upgraded to better sets ahead of the big matches.

“,”elementId”:”5b2fe3ee-bc2d-411e-b325-eb4dcf0ab7f0″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

The supermarket chain stuck to its forecast of a retail underlying operating profit of between £1.01bn and £1.06bn this year, up between 5% and 10% from last year.

“,”elementId”:”7062328b-ab16-4b7e-9ac4-a1b8c8a382e7″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Later this morning, we’ll be getting ‘flash’ inflation figures for June from the eurozone.

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Inflation in the 20-nation eurozone is expected to have fallen slightly, to 2.5% from 2.6% in May.

“,”elementId”:”d51a4af5-0708-43b1-836b-a9d605677cd0″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Eurostat, the European Commission’s office, will release the data at 10am BST. The core rate, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, is forecast to have eased to 2.8% from 2.9%.

“,”elementId”:”f6c07589-bbed-42fc-9c23-e3f9c571163c”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

The Agenda

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    n

  • 10am BST: Eurozone inflation for June (forecast: 2.5%)

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  • 2.30pm BST: European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde speech

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  • 2.30pm BST: US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell speech

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关键事件

预计6月份服务业年率将在欧元区中最高,为4.1%,与5月份相比持平。

其次是食品、酒精和烟草,年率为 2.5%,低于 5 月份的 2.6%;工业品价格上涨 0.7%,与 5 月份持平;能源价格上涨 0.2%,低于 5 月份的 0.3%。

另有数据显示,5月份失业率维持在6.4%,与4月份持平。

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欧元区通胀率降至 2.5%

欧元区通胀率上月略有放缓,从5月份的2.6%降至2.5%。

官方数据显示,不包括波动较大的未加工食品和能源的核心通胀年率从 2.9% 降至 2.8%。

欧盟统计局发布了“初步”估计数,欧盟委员会统计办公室。

欧元区 #通货膨胀 预计 2024 年 6 月为 2.5%,低于 5 月的 2.6%。组成部分:服务 +4.1%,食品、酒精和烟草 +2.5%,其他商品 +0.7%,能源 +0.2% – 初步估计 https://t.co/9Kfk797fhj pic.twitter.com/IFcPkfFtOM

— EU_Eurostat (@EU_Eurostat) 2024 年 7 月 2 日

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Revolut 公布创纪录利润,暗示计划 IPO

革命 尽管仍在努力获得英国银行牌照,但该行已公布创纪录的年度利润,并进一步暗示计划上市。

这家总部位于伦敦的金融科技公司等待英国牌照批准已逾三年,2023 年实现盈利 4.38 亿英镑, 去年同期亏损 2500 万英镑。

更高的利率和雄心勃勃的扩张计划推动了利润的增长,去年其用户群增加了 1200 万名客户。根据其最新年度报告,2023 年收入增长 95%,达到 18 亿英镑。

但老板们尚未说服监管机构向该公司颁发英国银行牌照,这将为该公司打开新的收入来源之门。牌照将允许 Revolut 持有其客户的存款,这将有助于为其自有品牌的贷款和抵押贷款提供资金。它还可能说服美国等其他主要国家的监管机构效仿。

挑战部分在于让监管机构相信 Revolut 已经解决了许多会计和 声誉问题 近年来,在违反欧盟监管规定后, 其企业文化 以及延迟提交账目。

Revolut 的高管在其最新年度报告中很少提及 2021 年初首次提交的英国申请,只是说:“我们将继续与 [Prudential Regulation Authority] 关于我们的英国银行牌照申请。”

然而,2021 年估值 330 亿美元的 Revolut 进一步暗示,它有望实现预计将会成功的首次公开募股 (IPO)。该公司在年度报告中坚称,它已经以“上市公司”所期望的方式“加强”了财务控制。

一年前,审计师 BDO 表示无法全面了解 Revolut 的收入,并警告称,因此该公司的财务状况面临“重大错报”的风险。

以下是关于 Sainsbury's 的完整报道:

利润下调后 Shoe Zone 股价暴跌 18%

股份 鞋区 这家鞋类零售商再次下调了利润预测,并将其归咎于红海中断和恶劣天气导致的运输成本上升,导致其市值缩水近五分之一。

该股最低跌至 120 便士,随后下跌 16%,至 130 便士。

该零售商目前预计截至 10 月 2 日的年度调整后税前利润约为 1000 万英镑。由于受到运输延误和国家最低生活工资上调后工资成本上升的影响,该公司 5 月份已将利润预期下调至 1380 万英镑。

今天,Shoe Zone 表示,由于航运船只数量的减少,以及改变传统苏伊士运河航线的额外成本,集装箱价格在过去六个月中“大幅”上涨。

此外,由于“反常的天气条件”,4 月至 6 月间的春夏季销售低于预期。

上周,该公司遭受网络攻击,黑客“未经授权访问了某些在线系统和数据”。该公司的网站仍在运营,Shoe Zone 也继续与其客户和供应商进行交易。

该高街连锁店表示,4 月至 6 月期间其鞋子销量低于预期,并发布了盈利预警,将原因归咎于恶劣天气和高昂的运输成本。 照片:Mike Egerton/PA
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英国下一届政府有望从通胀和燃料价格下降中获益

英国下一届政府有望从商店通胀放缓和燃料价格下跌后缓解家庭财务压力中获益,但对于许多家庭来说,成本仍然“过于昂贵”。

数字来自 英国零售商协会 (BRC) 显示,由于零售商下调了黄油和咖啡等许多主要产品的价格,英国商店价格年通胀率上个月降至 0.2%,低于 5 月份的 0.6%——这是自 2021 年 10 月以来的最低增速。

周四大选前夕,RAC 发布的另外数据显示,6 月份汽油和柴油价格连续第二个月下跌,以缓解受生活成本危机影响的家庭的压力。然而,该组织表示,在英格兰、威尔士和苏格兰,加油仍然“过于昂贵”。

根据 RAC 的月度燃油监测报告,6 月底英国汽油平均价格略低于每升 145 便士,低于月初的 148 便士。柴油价格从近 154 便士降至 150 便士左右。

RAC 表示:“尽管油价连续第二个月下跌,但仍然远未达到应有的水平。”它强调北爱尔兰的加油成本较低,这里的汽油平均比英国其他地区便宜 4.5 便士/升,柴油便宜 8 便士。

RAC 政策主管, 西蒙·威廉姆斯, 说:

虽然油价连续两个月下跌是个好消息,但这也让人感到不快,因为我们知道英国的司机仍然受到不公平的待遇,因为汽油和柴油仍然比北爱尔兰贵得多。

今天上午,塞恩斯伯里是富时 100 指数中跌幅最大的股票,下跌 3.3%,至 249.60 便士。

总体而言,英国蓝筹指数下跌 0.6% 或 52 点,至 8114.91 点。

欧元区通胀数据公布前,欧洲股市也出现回落。德国 Dax 指数下跌 0.5%,法国 CAC 指数下跌 0.7%,意大利 FTSE MiB 指数下跌 0.6%。

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索菲·伦德·耶茨Hargreaves Lansdown 首席股票分析师表示,“Arogs 脖子上的信天翁效应不容忽视”。

乍一看,很难弄清楚结果如何 塞恩斯伯里 装袋面积。最终,增长率的下降在一定程度上是可以预料到的,尤其是在杂货店。

随着通货膨胀降温、天气恶化以及球场上出现艰难的比较,保持去年的增长水平始终是一个困难的任务。但 Sainsbury 在其所有权方面一直存在一个挥之不去的具体问题 阿尔戈斯。在这种经济环境下,电子产品表现不佳,因为人们优先考虑必需品。日用百货是超市经济中周期性最强的领域,因此,在经济困难时期,在这个领域投入过多真的会让你放慢脚步。额外的曝光抵消并掩盖了核心杂货业务的出色表现。

塞恩斯伯里正面临一些身份危机,处于高端和价值之间较脆弱的中间地带。塞恩斯伯里投入了大量精力来改进产品、价值认知和创新,这让该集团有足够的热情开始将市场份额推向正确的方向。人工智能改善实时客户服务和体验的雄心壮志很宏大,但在细节上有些单薄,因此这是一个值得关注的领域。

投资者的耐心也得到了回报,一旦 Sainsbury 银行资产出售给 NatWest 银行的交易完成,投资者将获得至少 2.5 亿英镑的回报。

总体而言,塞恩斯伯里已经尽了一切努力来改善自身状况,这值得称赞,但它肩上的阿尔戈斯负担也不容忽视。

塞恩斯伯里银行。 照片:Grant Rooney Premium/Alamy
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Jefferies 的分析师由 弗雷德里克·怀尔德詹姆斯·格津尼克 谈到塞恩斯伯里的“食品杂货业务表现异常强劲”。

第一季度,Sainsbury's 的食品杂货业务表现异常强劲,但被日用百货业务(尤其是 Argos)的低迷表现所抵消。这应该代表着谷底,鉴于该股近期表现不佳,市场对此深有体会。

最近几周天气转晴,应能支撑……今年剩余时间的主要推动力是消费环境改善和宽松 [year-on-year] 比较。

随着通胀趋于稳定、商品组合开始改善以及市场份额持续增长,食品杂货总体增长仍然强劲,达到 4.8%。

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简介:尽管 2024 年欧洲杯有所推动,但 Sainsbury 的销售增长仍放缓;欧元区通胀预计将放缓

早上好,欢迎收看我们对商业、金融市场和世界经济的滚动报道。

销售 塞恩斯伯里 尽管 2024 年欧洲杯期间购买电视的人数增加了 25%,但销售增长速度却有所放缓,部分原因是其 Argos 连锁店的销售额大幅下降。

食品通胀已经缓解,而恶劣天气和生活成本危机等因素令该超市集团在服装和百货商品方面面临“严峻的贸易环境”。

截至 6 月 22 日的 16 周内,同类销售额(开业至少一年的商店),不包括燃料,从上一季度的 4.8% 放缓至 2.7%。

随着整个市场的通胀有所缓解,食品销售额增幅从 7.3% 降至 4.8%。

Argos 最新季度的销售额暴跌 6.2%,原因是由于天气寒冷潮湿,人们购买的花园家具、戏水池和其他季节性产品比去年少。视频游戏等电子产品的销售也表现疲软。

塞恩斯伯里表示:

消费者购买日用百货商品时会更加谨慎,但会注重价值。

随着天气转好以及夏季运动的兴起,日用百货行业开始出现更多积极迹象。

随着上周天气转暖,人们立即囤积了降温产品和园艺用品。Sainsbury's 表示,一周内售出的风扇数量超过了今年迄今的销量。得益于欧元升值,电视机销量激增,因为球迷们在大型比赛前升级了更好的电视机。

该连锁超市坚持其今年零售基本营业利润 10.1 亿英镑至 10.6 亿英镑的预测,较去年增长 5% 至 10%。

今天上午晚些时候,我们将获得欧元区六月份的“闪电”通胀数据。

预计欧元区20国通胀率将从5月份的2.6%小幅下降至2.5%。

欧盟委员会办公室 Eurostat 将于英国夏令时上午 10 点发布数据。不包括食品和能源等波动性项目的核心利率预计将从 2.9% 降至 2.8%。

议程

  • 英国夏令时上午 10 点:欧元区 6 月份通胀率(预测:2.5%)

  • 英国夏令时下午 2:30:欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话

  • 英国夏令时下午 2:30:美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔发表讲话

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2024-07-02 09:40:56

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