英国房价 5 月份小幅反弹；对 Nationwide 收购 Virgin Money 展开调查 – 商业直播 | 商业

简介：英国房价上涨，但生活水平却下降

早上好，欢迎收看我们对商业、金融市场和世界经济的滚动报道。

人们是否感觉更富裕可能是他们在投票时选择哪一方的一个关键因素。

新数据显示，那些有幸拥有一套房子的人本月稍微富裕了一点，而另一份报告显示，生活水平十多年来一直处于低迷状态。

贷款人 全国 刚刚公布，英国5月份房价环比上涨0.4％，结束了连续两个月的下跌趋势。

这使得房价年通胀率从 4 月份的 0.6% 上升至 1.3%，目前平均房价为 246,249 英镑。

尽管价格上涨 一些贷款机构今年春季提高了抵押贷款利率 – 尽管成本低于 2022 年迷你预算惨败后几个月的峰值，但 保守党的声望受到如此大的损害。

全国 报告称市场表现出一定的弹性。他们的首席经济学家 罗伯特 加德纳，说道：

“近几个月来，随着长期利率上升，面对持续的负担能力压力，市场似乎显示出复苏迹象。过去几个月，消费者信心明显改善（见下图），这得益于工资稳步上涨和通胀率下降。

大选活动不太可能对房地产市场造成太大影响； 右移 本周报道 95%计划搬家的人表示选举不会影响他们的计划。

然而，更广泛的经济形势是，自经济大衰退以来，英国的收入增长一直疲软。

这 财政研究所 今天上午的报道称，2009-10年至2022-23年间，平均收入仅增长了6％；而在2008年危机之前，经济学家预计这13年间的收入增长率将达到30％。

IFS 警告称，虽然没有“灵丹妙药”，但税收、规划、教育等改革可以对英国的长期前景产生重大影响。

穆宾·哈克, 首席执行官 abrdn 金融公平信托， 说：

“不幸的是，十多年来生活水平一直低迷。

从一系列指标来看，英国的表现一直不佳，尤其是与其他富裕国家相比。危险在于停滞不前成为新常态。这不符合任何人的利益，阻碍了太多人的未来和生活。

未来政府的关键将是重新努力解决困难并提高生活水平。”

今天还将推出

英国央行的新数据将显示上个月批准了多少笔抵押贷款，这是衡量房地产市场健康状况的另一个指标。

全球投资者正在为最新的美国个人消费支出通胀数据做准备，该数据衡量了各种消费者支出的价格变化。强劲的个人消费支出报告可能会给美国提前降息的希望泼上一盆冷水，而疲软的数据可能会让这种希望重新燃起……

议程

• 英国夏令时上午 7 点：5 月份全国房价指数

• 英国夏令时上午 7 点：德国零售销售

• 英国夏令时上午 7:45：法国通胀报告

• 英国夏令时上午 9:30：英国抵押贷款批准和消费者信贷统计数据

• 英国夏令时上午 10 点：欧元区通胀报告

• 英国夏令时下午 1:30：加拿大第一季度 GDP 报告

• 英国夏令时下午 1:30：美国个人消费支出 (PCE) 通胀指数

It’s all change at betting group Flutter this morning.

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Flutter, which owns FanDuel, Sky Betting & Gaming, Sportsbet, PokerStars, Paddy Power, and Betfair, has completed the migration of its primary stock market listing to New York, from London.

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Peter Jackson, CEO of Flutter Entertainment, says:

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n

“Today marks an important milestone in the evolution of Flutter with the commencement of our primary listing on the New York Stock Exchange.

n

This closely follows the recent move of our operational headquarters to New York, with both reflecting the increasing importance of the US sports betting and iGaming market to our business. We have a fantastic position in the US, with FanDuel the clear number one operator, and we look forward to this next step on our journey.”

n

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But CFO Paul Edgecliffe-Johnson won’t be sharing this journey. Flutter’s board have decided it’s “in the Company’s best interests” him to step down from his role as Group CFO and Executive Director.

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Edgecliffe-Johnson was concerned about his ability to spend the “extensive executive management time” in the United States that is now needed, due to family commitments in the UK. So he’s being replaced by Rob Coldrake, currently CFO of Flutter International, with immediate effect.

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Karen Noye, mortgage expert at wealth manager Quilter, says the UK housing market is showing “considerable resilience” in the face of tough economic conditions, and the affordability squeeze.

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n

This is likely in part due to the annual spring bounce as more buyers come to market making it more competitive. However, on an annual basis, prices have increased by 1.3%. The slight uptick suggests some stability, albeit under challenging conditions.

n

“Nationwide’s data reflects a modestly positive trend, but the housing market remains very unpredictable and the growth in house prices is modest. Monthly property transactions have been lower than expected, indicating a cautious market but this is no surprise given the stress the nation’s finances have been under.

n

“Affordability remains a significant challenge, particularly for first-time buyers who face rising mortgage rates and the ongoing pressures of living costs.

n

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The beginning of summer may not have brought much sun but it did bring some modest house price growth. Buyers who believe prices have bottomed out & are keen to move before others recommence their property search make their move but often with longer mortgage terms. UK house… pic.twitter.com/Q2f6uTxXD2

— Emma Fildes (@emmafildes) May 31, 2024

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Tom Bill, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank, says house prices do not feel poised to rally:

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n

High supply is keeping a lid on prices and stubborn services inflation means swap rates are rising and mortgages starting with a ‘3’ feel some way off.

n

Asking prices still need to reflect the fact that buyers currently have tighter budgets and more choice. The general election is unlikely to impact mainstream property markets and if buyers want to know what prices will do next, the next inflation reading rather than the political manifestoes is the best place to start.”

n

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Iain McKenzie, CEO of The Guild of Property Professionals, says house prices across the country are in “a state of flux”:

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n

“This is undoubtedly still a good time to market your property, but it is always worth speaking to an estate agent with a good understanding of prices in your area. While house price figures are useful for giving a top-level overview, they do not give you the granular detail that you might need to get the most out of your sale.

n

“Inflation came in higher than expected this month, which makes it increasingly unlikely that the Bank of England will lower interest rates in June.

n

“For the time being, people on tracker mortgages will face higher repayments and crucially for buyers it also means that some of the most attractive mortgage offers will be slower to return to the market.

n

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Nationwide have also dug into their data, and found that past general elections do not appear to have generated volatility in house prices or resulted in a significant change in house price trends.

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100″,”credit”:”照片：Nationwide”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

他们的首席经济学家 罗伯特 加德纳 说：

“,”elementId”:”104ae428-b417-4c8e-980a-9c41cbc330be”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”

n

“总体而言，英国大选前、大选期间和大选后，主流趋势一直保持不变。更广泛的经济趋势似乎主导着任何与选举相关的直接影响。

n

“,”elementId”:”67e05d3a-51a0-4f9a-a706-0f71e7e9b8e0″}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1717137321000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”02.35 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1717137493000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”02.38 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1717137493000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”02.38 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”02.38″,”title”:”全国：大选不会扰乱房价”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”2024 年 5 月 31 日星期五 03.37 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”首次发布于 2024 年 5 月 31 日星期五 02.28 EDT”},{“id”:”66596b788f086b8009a046e1″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

It’s a busy morning for Nationwide Building Society.

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As well as their latest house price data, we’ve also just learned that the UK’s competition authorities have launched a merger inquiry into its £2.9bn takeover of rival Virgin Money.

“,”elementId”:”2db222e6-d27d-48fe-bc70-42ec97309376″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) says it is considering whether the deal – the biggest since the financial crisis – would lead to a substantial lessening of competition within the UK banking sector.

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The CMA is seeking views from interested parties, by 14 June (details here).

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Last week, Virgin Money shareholders have voted in favour of Nationwide’s offer, despite one investor claiming the takeover was “likely to sell shareholders very short”.

“,”elementId”:”b3eb657a-4ce1-41de-bfae-dbed12d20b40″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”Virgin Money shareholders vote for Nationwide takeover by big majority”,”elementId”:”3ea04f83-32df-425c-b8e0-144dba740158″,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/may/22/virgin-money-shareholders-vote-for-nationwide-takeover-by-big-majority”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

As well as the shareholder vote, the deal still needs formal approval from City regulators the Financial Conduct Authority and Prudential Regulation Authority, as well as signoff from the CMA.

“,”elementId”:”847a2e7d-8f1e-4a03-bdcb-725c1dde9733″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TweetBlockElement”,”source”:”Twitter”,”id”:”1796421847749169165″,”elementId”:”b60dbfb1-9d98-46a8-b271-652c62f2cf97″,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”url”:”https://twitter.com/CMAgovUK/status/1796421847749169165″,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”html”:”

We’ve launched our investigation into Nationwide Building Society’s potential acquisition of Virgin Money.

More: https://t.co/RJNnSHw5vY

— Competition & Markets Authority (@CMAgovUK) May 31, 2024

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Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

“,”elementId”:”67efcd27-4495-4a5e-843c-eb0bb3954721″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Whether people feel wealthier can be a key factor in where they place their tick at the ballot box.

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And those lucky enough to own a house became slightly wealthier this month, new data shows, while a separate report shows living standards have languished for more than a decade.

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Lender Nationwide has just reported that UK house prices rose by 0.4% month on month in May, ending a two-month run of falling prices.

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This has lifted the annual rate of house price inflation up to 1.3%, from 0.6% in April, with the average house price now £246,249.

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尽管价格上涨 一些贷款机构今年春季提高了抵押贷款利率 – 尽管成本低于 2022 年迷你预算惨败后几个月的峰值，但 保守党的声望受到如此大的损害。

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全国 报告称市场表现出一定的弹性。他们的首席经济学家 罗伯特 加德纳，说道：

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n

“近几个月来，随着长期利率上升，面对持续的负担能力压力，市场似乎显示出复苏迹象。过去几个月，消费者信心明显改善（见下图），这得益于工资稳步上涨和通胀率下降。

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大选活动不太可能对房地产市场造成太大影响； 右移 本周报道 95%计划搬家的人表示选举不会影响他们的计划。

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然而，更广泛的经济形势是，自经济大衰退以来，英国的收入增长一直疲软。

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这 财政研究所 今天上午的报道称，2009-10年至2022-23年间，平均收入仅增长了6％；而在2008年危机之前，经济学家预计这13年间的收入增长率将达到30％。

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IFS 警告称，虽然没有“灵丹妙药”，但税收、规划、教育等改革可以对英国的长期前景产生重大影响。

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穆宾·哈克, 首席执行官 abrdn 金融公平信托， 说：

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“不幸的是，十多年来生活水平一直低迷。

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从一系列指标来看，英国的表现一直不佳，尤其是与其他富裕国家相比。危险在于停滞不前成为新常态。这不符合任何人的利益，阻碍了太多人的未来和生活。

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未来政府的关键将是重新努力解决困难并提高生活水平。”

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今天还将推出

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英国央行的新数据将显示上个月批准了多少笔抵押贷款，这是衡量房地产市场健康状况的另一个指标。

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全球投资者正在为最新的美国个人消费支出通胀数据做准备，该数据衡量了各种消费者支出的价格变化。强劲的个人消费支出报告可能会给美国提前降息的希望泼上一盆冷水，而疲软的数据可能会让这种希望重新燃起……

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议程

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• 英国夏令时上午 7 点：5 月份全国房价指数

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• 英国夏令时上午 7 点：德国零售销售

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• 英国夏令时上午 7:45：法国通胀报告

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• 英国夏令时上午 9:30：英国抵押贷款批准和消费者信贷统计数据

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• 英国夏令时上午 10 点：欧元区通胀报告

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• 英国夏令时下午 1:30：加拿大第一季度 GDP 报告

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• 英国夏令时下午 1:30：美国个人消费支出 (PCE) 通胀指数

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关键事件

简介：英国房价上涨，但生活水平却下降

早上好，欢迎收看我们对商业、金融市场和世界经济的滚动报道。

人们是否感觉更富裕可能是他们在投票时选择哪一方的一个关键因素。

新数据显示，那些有幸拥有一套房子的人本月稍微富裕了一点，而另一份报告显示，生活水平十多年来一直处于低迷状态。

贷款人 全国 刚刚公布，英国5月份房价环比上涨0.4％，结束了连续两个月的下跌趋势。

这使得房价年通胀率从 4 月份的 0.6% 上升至 1.3%，目前平均房价为 246,249 英镑。

尽管价格上涨 一些贷款机构今年春季提高了抵押贷款利率 – 尽管成本低于 2022 年迷你预算惨败后几个月的峰值，但 保守党的声望受到如此大的损害。

全国 报告称市场表现出一定的弹性。他们的首席经济学家 罗伯特 加德纳，说道：

“近几个月来，随着长期利率上升，面对持续的负担能力压力，市场似乎显示出复苏迹象。过去几个月，消费者信心明显改善（见下图），这得益于工资稳步上涨和通胀率下降。

大选活动不太可能对房地产市场造成太大影响； 右移 本周报道 95%计划搬家的人表示选举不会影响他们的计划。

然而，更广泛的经济形势是，自经济大衰退以来，英国的收入增长一直疲软。

这 财政研究所 今天上午的报道称，2009-10年至2022-23年间，平均收入仅增长了6％；而在2008年危机之前，经济学家预计这13年间的收入增长率将达到30％。

IFS 警告称，虽然没有“灵丹妙药”，但税收、规划、教育等改革可以对英国的长期前景产生重大影响。

穆宾·哈克, 首席执行官 abrdn 金融公平信托， 说：

“不幸的是，十多年来生活水平一直低迷。

从一系列指标来看，英国的表现一直不佳，尤其是与其他富裕国家相比。危险在于停滞不前成为新常态。这不符合任何人的利益，阻碍了太多人的未来和生活。

未来政府的关键将是重新努力解决困难并提高生活水平。”

今天还将推出

英国央行的新数据将显示上个月批准了多少笔抵押贷款，这是衡量房地产市场健康状况的另一个指标。

全球投资者正在为最新的美国个人消费支出通胀数据做准备，该数据衡量了各种消费者支出的价格变化。强劲的个人消费支出报告可能会给美国提前降息的希望泼上一盆冷水，而疲软的数据可能会让这种希望重新燃起……

议程

• 英国夏令时上午 7 点：5 月份全国房价指数

• 英国夏令时上午 7 点：德国零售销售

• 英国夏令时上午 7:45：法国通胀报告

• 英国夏令时上午 9:30：英国抵押贷款批准和消费者信贷统计数据

• 英国夏令时上午 10 点：欧元区通胀报告

• 英国夏令时下午 1:30：加拿大第一季度 GDP 报告

• 英国夏令时下午 1:30：美国个人消费支出 (PCE) 通胀指数